After a cold June, will the heat come? Forecasters have given a forecast for July.

      Experts explained the reasons for the prolonged bad weather, assessed the consequences of the rains, and discussed whether the weather scenario will change.

      Due to the bad weather in June, a landslide occurred, damaging vehicles.

      In the first month of summer, the weather did not particularly pamper the residents of Tatarstan. June turned out to be rainy and cool. According to specialists from the Hydrometeorological Center of Tatarstan, cyclical activity in the region was very active, which affected the weather pattern. "The average daily air temperature in June ranged from 16 to 18 degrees Celsius, depending on the area. In the Zakamye region and the northwest of Arsk, it was one degree below normal. Overall, the temperature across the republic was around normal or one degree below normal," said Felix Gogol, head of the Hydrometeorological Center of Tatarstan, to Tatar-inform.

      In June, heavy rains hit the republic. In most areas, the precipitation was several times higher than the climatic norm. Therefore, various troubles ensued. "Overall, the total precipitation in June at different weather stations ranged from 65 to 152 mm or 125–250% of the monthly norm. The most precipitation was recorded in the northwest of the republic, with Arsk receiving 2.5 times the norm. In Kazan, over 1.5 times the monthly norm fell in a month," noted Felix Gogol.

      In Kazan, a heavy downpour occurred on June 23. The storm drains could not cope with the water flows, and near the shopping center "Kol'tso," the water level rose to benches and trash cans, with cars literally "floating" on some roads. A landslide occurred on Vishnevsky Street – the ground, unable to bear the load, collapsed along with a hill and lawns onto the roadway, blocking two lanes of traffic. Due to excessive moisture in certain areas of the republic, crops were damaged.

      "In June, a dangerous agrometeorological phenomenon was recorded – soil overmoistening. In the village of Akhtash in the Almetyevsky district, it has been noted since June 11 and continues to this day," said the head of the Hydrometeorological Center of Tatarstan.

      June made a striking impression on the last day of the month. Wind gusts of up to 22 meters per second knocked down about thirty trees in various areas of the republic, mostly in Kazan. Vehicles were damaged. According to the Hydrometeorological Center of Tatarstan, although there were many damages in the republic, the criteria for a "dangerous phenomenon" were not met by the strong winds.

      "In July, residents of Tatarstan will receive compensation in warmth."

      After the coolness and heavy rains of June, residents of Tatarstan will receive compensation in warmth in July, said Alexander Shuvalov, head of the forecasting center "Meteo," to Tatar-inform.

      "There will be no repetition of what happened in June," he noted.

      According to the forecaster, in the first half of July, thunderstorm rains are expected against a backdrop of temperatures reaching 25-30 degrees Celsius.

      "This type of weather – warm, but with short-term rains on certain days – will last until mid-month. Most likely, July will have a positive temperature anomaly," added Shuvalov.

      According to him, thunderstorms are possible on July 9-10 and 13-15. On other days, it will be mostly dry, with a "very good temperature background, exceeding the climatic norm by two to three degrees."

      According to the forecast from the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia, the average monthly air temperature in July in Tatarstan is expected to be half a degree above the climatic norm. The temperature norm for the second month of summer in Kazan is 20.5 degrees, while for the republic, it is 19.9 degrees. Precipitation is expected to be close to the long-term average values. The norm in Kazan is 63 mm, while for the republic, it is 56 mm.

      "In the first decade of July, the overall temperature is expected to be one degree above the climatic norm. The norm for this period in the republic is 19.6 degrees, while in Kazan, it is 19.1 degrees," said Felix Gogol.

      According to him, the significant change in weather that we are currently observing is due to atmospheric circulation.

      "If in June, the prevailing winds in the republic were from the west, now there is a high-pressure area. Therefore, precipitation has ceased. The temperature background will gradually rise, with maximum temperatures expected to approach 30 degrees by the end of the week," noted Gogol.

      Heat in Altai, coolness in Kuban, and unconfirmed tornadoes in Tatarstan.

      Overall, the weather conditions across our country this summer are varied, noted Alexander Shuvalov.

      "Very hot weather in Siberia. Altai has frequently ranked among the top 10 hottest places. By the end of June, many maximum temperature records were set in the north – in Norilsk, Khatanga, and Salekhard," he said.

      In the Far East, very hot weather has been observed at the end of June and currently, with temperatures in Yakutsk reaching 32-33 degrees. In the European part of Russia and the south, June was cool. In Kuban, Crimea, and the North Caucasus, a negative temperature anomaly and a large amount of rain were recorded, noted Shuvalov.

      Summer is in full swing. In July and August, dangerous meteorological phenomena are possible with the passage of atmospheric fronts, warn forecasters.

      "They occur when cold atmospheric air penetrates the heated surface of the territory. The sharp contrast and temperature fluctuations contribute to the formation of convective phenomena. These include thunderstorms, squalls, and hail. Usually, such phenomena are local in nature, so they are not always recorded by weather stations," said Felix Gogol.

      He explained that social media users posted photos of tornadoes in June. However, they were not recorded at the weather stations in the republic. Therefore, their authenticity cannot be confirmed.

      The head of the Hydrometeorological Center of Tatarstan recommended that residents planning to relax in nature check the weather forecast from reliable sources – Rosgidromet and the Hydrometeorological Center of Tatarstan.

      Photo: © Vladimir Vasiliev / "Tatar-inform"